Bailout Express

The Bailout Express system is a combination of two very reliable trading techniques for trading the S&P, E-Mini and E-Micro futures. Typically, there will be 1 to 3 or 4 trades per month, with trades lasting in most cases from as little as 24 hours to several weeks, and on rare occasions even longer.

Though the systems trade futures, they also use price data of the the cash indexes and other fudamental data as filters. Thus, trading tends to be more prolific during times where there are stronger underpinnings to the equities markets. The track record of combining both of these systems together can be seen at the bottom of the page, or by clicking here.

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Real Time Record Since Inception 7/18/2019



Hypothetical Record 7/30/2002 through 7/17/2019

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Assumptions:
This hypothetical performance presented includes USD 10 per round turn commissions and slippage on each E-Micro contract (the equivalent of USD 100 on an E-Mini). It does not include the monthly fee of USD 35 per "unit," the method of determiation for position sizing, each unit being USD 5,000 in account equity. The hypothetical pro forma performance begins with an initial capital of USD 10,000 (2 units). Further, this hypothetical pro forma performance is calculated on ES Day-Session only data for the ES Mini Day Session Continuous Contract as provided by Tradestation. Note that these results are compiled using the ES Mini, and results extrapolated to the ES Micro, Since the ES Micro has only been trading since May, 2019.

This hypothetical track record of Bailout Express under these assumptions encompasses nearly 17 years and includes the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The results are fully mechanical. With a starting capital of USD 10,000 we find it growing to USD 180,850 at the end of the nearly 17 year-long period, for an average compound gain after USD 10 Commissions and Slippage per each round-turn E-Micro contract traded of 18.57% per year, and witnesses a maximum drawdown of 25.55%. In the chart that follows, we compare the results for Bailout Express under the Asssumptions noted above, relative to an outright buy and hold of SPY, the S&P 500 ETF with the same starting capital (and hence the buy and hold has no commissions and slippage deducted):

Bailout Express Historical Pro-Forma

Annual returns under the Assumptions noted above:

Date Equity Return
20021231 $10,000 -
20031231 $12,260 22.60%
20041231 $13,283 8.34%
20051230 $14,917 12.31%
20061229 $16,520 10.74%
20071231 $16,831 1.88%
20081231 $16,831 0.00%
20091231 $19,966 18.63%
20101231 $23,842 19.41%
20111230 $22,239 -6.72%
20121231 $28,946 30.16%
20131231 $39,348 35.94%
20141231 $49,422 25.60%
20151231 $59,165 19.72%
20161230 $93,417 57.89%
20171229 $108,145 15.77%
20181231 $120,606 11.52%
20190717 $180,863 49.96%

#Years From To Avg Return/Yr Max Drawdown
last 5 20140714 20190712 16.61% 16.35%
last 3 20160712 20190712 18.35% 14.19%
last 2 20170712 20190712 17.62% 14.19%
last 1 20180712 20190712 26.43% 14.19%


HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.